A Joint Spatio-Temporal Model of Opioid Associated Deaths and Treatment Admissions in Ohio

Abstract

Opioid misuse is a major public health issue in the United States and in 2017, Ohio had the second highest age-adjusted drug overdose rate. In this thesis, we consider a joint spatio-temporal model of county-level surveillance data on deaths and treatment admissions using a latent spatial factor model. Our main goal is to estimate a common spatial factor, which offers a summary of the underlying joint burden of opioid misuse across space and time. The result is supposed to provide a valuable tool to allocate resources across the state in a timely manner.

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conditional autoregressive, factor model, opioid epidemic, resource allocation, spatio-temporal

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Wake Forest University